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Shoreline Flood Watch Termination [ Flood Message # 2 ]

March 26, 2023

The flood watch message for the Haldimand County is now terminated.

Low Water Status Indicator: Normal

Lake levels have declined sufficiently that a flood watch message is no longer necessary.

Present forecasts are calling for diminishing winds out of the west on Sunday. LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

For more information, contact Brady Baker, 519-842-4242 ext. 265.

Shoreline Flood Watch [ Flood Message #1 ]

March 24, 2023

Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Flood Watch for the Haldimand County shoreline and a Shoreline Conditions Statement: Flood Outlook for the remaining areas along the shoreline within the LPRCA watershed.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Watch

A significant weather system is forecast to bring high winds to the Lower Great Lakes Region tomorrow Saturday, March 25, 2023. Areas along Lake Erie will see winds from the east and southeast at 44 km/hour up until early afternoon on Saturday before changing directions to the southwest early evening. Winds from the southwest are expected to reach 62 km/hr with gusts up to 92 km/hr before slowly diminishing into Sunday morning. Forecast winds across Lake Erie will result in increased water levels due to storm surge and wave heights, with the potential to reach local flood thresholds in Haldimand County. This may result in minor shoreline flooding, wave uprush and increased erosion across the area.

For the eastern end of Lake Erie, a moderate storm surge is forecasted, with water levels at Port Colborne expected to peak around 2.1 m above chart datum over the next 24 hours. Water levels in Long Point are expected to peak around 1.67m above chart datum over the next 24 hours. The Lake Erie shoreline wave height is predicted to be slightly over 1.5 m for the eastern watershed while the central watershed will have waves ranging from 2.5 to 3.5 m during this event.
Residents are urged to use caution and stay away from Lake Erie shoreline areas experiencing strong wave action and elevated water levels. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas. A close watch on local weather conditions is recommended.

The Haldimand County Flood Coordinator should be prepared to warn affected residents and businesses in Lake Erie Flood Zone 1, along the lakeshore and to monitor roads along the lakeshore and implement closures as necessary. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with flood warning zone mapping available on Haldimand County’s website.

Community flood coordinators in other jurisdictions are asked to monitor road conditions along the lakeshore. LPRCA staff will continue to monitor Lake Erie conditions and will update this message as necessary.

This Flood Watch is in effect until 8:00 am Sunday, March 26, 2023. LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

Contact Brady Baker, 519-842-4242 ext. 265, should further information be required.

Watershed Conditions Statement – Riverine Flood Outlook [ Flood Message #1 ]

March 22, 2023

The Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Watershed Conditions Statement – Riverine Flood Outlook for all areas within its watershed.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Outlook Statement

A strong low-pressure system is expected to move into the province this evening. Precipitation across southern Ontario is forecast to reach 15 – 20 mm today with an additional 15 – 25 mm on Saturday. Additionally, above-freezing daytime air temperatures, as high as +10°C, are forecast for southern Ontario over the next four days. A moderate snowpack, ranging from 0 – 6.9 cm has been recorded throughout the watershed.

The above-freezing temperatures with added rain will result in the snowpack becoming saturated with water. It is expected that the entire snowpack will melt and release water which will create a potential for flooding in flood prone areas through the week into the weekend.

Members of the public are reminded to stay away from ditches, streams, rivers and ponds as the combination of slippery banks and cold, fast-flowing water is dangerous. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.
Landowners are also advised to make sure dams, culverts, and catch basins are free from debris and functioning properly – if it is safe to do so.

Water levels are expected to remain high for several days. Therefore, this Flood Outlook is in effect until Tuesday, March 28, 2023. LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

Contact David Proracki, 519-842-4242 ext. 264 should further information be required.

Shoreline Conditions Statement – Water Safety Message [ Lake Flood Message #1 ]

March 17, 2023

Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Water Safety Statement for the Lake Erie Shoreline.

Flood Status Indicator: Water Safety Statement

A strong low-pressure system has begun to move into the LPRCA watershed. This system is expected to bring strong
southwesterly winds which are expected to affect Lake Erie starting this afternoon. Wind speed is forecasted to reach
45 km/hr with potential gusts up to 70 km/hr, peaking this evening. As the system moves eastward on Saturday the
winds will begin to dissipate.

Shorelines across Lake Erie will result in increased water levels due to storm surge and wave heights. Due to the
forecast of strong southwesterly winds, the Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Shoreline
Conditions Statement –Water Safety Statement. This may result in minor shoreline flooding, wave uprush, and
increased erosion along the Lake Erie shoreline. LPRCA does not anticipate that the combined water level and wave
height will exceed local flood thresholds.

The public is asked to stay away from the Lake Erie shoreline due to strong wave action and elevated water levels.
Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

Water levels are expected to remain high until Saturday morning therefore, this Shoreline Conditions Statement –
Water Safety Statement is in effect until 8:00 am, Saturday, March 18th, 2023.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor forecasted conditions and will update this message as necessary.
Contact David Proracki, Water Resource Analyst at lprca.floodmessage@lprca.on.ca or 519-842-4242 ext. 264 should
further information be required.

Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety Message [ Flood Message #1 ]

March 16, 2023

Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Water Safety Statement for all areas within its watershed.

Flood Status Indicator: Water Safety Statement

On March 16th at approximately 8:00 pm, a strong low-pressure system is forecasted to enter the LPRCA watershed
and slowly cross the watershed for the next two days. The system carries warm air and a significant amount of
precipitation. Air temperatures in the LPRCA watershed are expected to stay above freezing temperatures overnight
and reach 7 – 10 degree Celsius on Friday. Total precipitation accumulation amounts for the duration of the two-day
event are forecasted to reach 15-25mm.

A snowpack, of approximately 7 – 20 cm and frozen ground conditions are expected to affect the LPRCA watershed
during this event. Under the forecast of mild temperatures, the snowpack will start to melt. Melting snow, rain, and
frozen ground conditions will produce substantial runoff. Due to the forecast of rain and warm temperatures and
considerable snowpack, the Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Watershed Conditions
Statement –Water Safety Statement. Under the forecasted conditions, riverine water levels and flows will increase.
No major flooding is expected to occur based on this forecast however; some watercourses may reach or exceed their
banks creating localized flooding in floodplains, low-lying areas and regions with poor drainage.

People are warned to stay away from ditches, frozen water bodies, streams, rivers and ponds as the combination of
slippery banks and cold, fast-flowing water is dangerous.

Landowners are also advised to make sure dams, culverts, and catch basins are free from debris and functioning
properly; if the work can be done safely.

Water levels are expected to remain high for the weekend. LPRCA staff will continue to monitor watershed conditions
and will update this message as necessary.

Therefore, this Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety Statement is in effect until noon, Monday,
March 20th, 2023.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor forecasted conditions and will update this message as necessary.
Contact David Proracki, Water Resource Analyst at lprca.floodmessage@lprca.on.ca or 519-842-4242 ext. 264 should
further information be required.

Flood Warning Termination [Flood Message #3 | December 25, 2022]

December 25, 2022

The Flood Warning issued on Wednesday, December 21, 2022 for the Lake Erie shoreline within Long Point Region Conservation Authority’s jurisdiction is now terminated.

During Friday’s event, high winds caused storm surge flooding along the Lake Erie shoreline. Lake Erie flood levels reached 175.64 metres (IGLD85) in Port Dover and 176.3 metres (IGLD85) in Port Colborne. These elevations correspond to flood stage 1 and flood stage 3 respectively.

While lake levels have since dropped, strong winds are still present. Therefore, a Shoreline Conditions Statement – Lake Erie Flood Outlook will remain in effect until 8 a.m. December 26, 2022.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Outlook Statement

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions and will update this message as necessary.

Contact David Proracki, Water Resources Analyst, at 519-842-4242 extension 264 should further information be required.

Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Warning [Flood Message #2 | December 23, 2022]

December 23, 2022

Long Point Region Conservation Authority is maintaining a Flood Warning for the entire Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Warning

Water levels at Port Colborne are expected to reach up 2.97 meters above chart datum by mid-afternoon on Friday, December 23. Lake Erie levels will remain above flood warning thresholds from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. Waves ranging from 2.0 to 3.0 meters are also predicted for the Lake Erie shoreline during this event. The likelihood of wave spray combined with freezing conditions will add significant hazards to this event and ice accretion should be expected.

Flooding is expected to impact low lying areas along the Lake Erie shoreline and lower reaches of some tributaries. Wave uprush and increased shoreline erosion can be expected from this event.

Haldimand County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Stage 4. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with the flood warning zone mapping on the Haldimand County website; Lake Erie Flood Zones in Haldimand County (arcgis.com).

Norfolk County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Stage 1. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with the flood warning zone mapping on the Norfolk County website; https://www.norfolkcounty.ca/living/flooding/norfolk-county-flood-mapping/.

Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor conditions along the lakeshore and should be prepared to warn affected residents and businesses within the affected flood stages areas, as noted above.

The public is asked to stay away from the Lake Erie shoreline due to strong wave action and elevated water levels, and to follow the direction of local flood coordinators and emergency officials. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor forecast models and conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

This Flood Warning for the Lake Erie shoreline is in effect until 8 a.m., Sunday, December 25, 2022 or until updated.

Contact David Proracki, Water Resources Analyst at 519-842-4242 extension 264 should further information be required.

Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Warning [Flood Message #1 | December 21, 2022]

December 21, 2022

Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Flood Warning for the entire Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction.

LPRCA Flood Status Indicator: Flood Warning

A very intense, slow moving Colorado low is forecast to bring high winds to the Great Lakes Region on Friday, December 23rd. As a result, Lake Erie will see sustained winds from the southwest moving at 40 to 50 km/hour and gusts of 90 to 110 km/hour throughout the day Friday before slowly diminishing over the weekend.

Environment Canada is currently forecasting a storm surge, with water levels at Port Colborne expected to reach 2.75 meters above chart datum throughout the day Friday. Waves ranging from 2.0 to 3.0 meters are also predicted for the Lake Erie shoreline during this event.

With the forecasted winds, flooding is expected to impact low lying areas along the Lake Erie shoreline and lower reaches of some tributaries. Wave uprush and increased shoreline erosion can be expected from this event.

Haldimand County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Stage 3. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with the flood warning zone mapping on the Haldimand County website; Lake Erie Flood Zones in Haldimand County (arcgis.com).

Norfolk County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Stage 0. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with the flood warning zone mapping on the Norfolk County website; https://www.norfolkcounty.ca/living/flooding/norfolk-county-flood-mapping/.

Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor conditions along the lakeshore and should be prepared to warn affected residents and businesses within the affected flood stages areas, as noted above.

The public is asked to stay away from the Lake Erie shoreline due to strong wave action and elevated water levels, and to follow the direction of local flood coordinators and emergency officials. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor forecast models and conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

This Flood Warning for the Lake Erie shoreline is in effect until 8 p.m., Saturday, December 24th, 2022 or until updated.

Contact David Proracki, Water Resources Analyst, at 519-842-4242 extension 264 should further information be required.

Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Watch Terminated [Flood Message #2 | December 1, 2022]

December 1, 2022

Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is now terminating the flood watch message issued on November 29, 2022 for the Lake Erie Shoreline.

Flood Status Indicator: Normal

Lake levels have declined sufficiently that a flood watch message is no longer necessary.

Present forecasts are calling for strong winds out of the west on Saturday.  LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

For more information, contact Paul Gagnon, 519-842-4242 ext. 232.

Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Watch [Flood Message #1 | November 29, 2022]

November 29, 2022

Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Shoreline Flood Watch for all areas within its watershed.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Watch

A significant weather system is forecast to bring high winds to the Lower Great Lakes Region tomorrow, Wednesday, November 30. Areas along the lower Great Lakes, especially Lake Erie, will see winds from the west 57 km/hour, gusting to 86 km/hour Wednesday afternoon and slowly diminishing into Thursday.

Forecast winds across Lake Erie will result in increased water levels due to storm surge and wave heights, with the potential to reach local flood thresholds. This may result in minor shoreline flooding, wave uprush and increased erosion across the forecast area.

For the eastern end of Lake Erie, a moderate storm surge is forecasted, with water levels at Port Colborne expected to peak around 1.99 m above chart datum over the next 24 hours. Waves slightly over 1.7 to 2.0 m are also predicted for Lake Erie shorelines during this event.

Residents are urged to use caution and stay away from Lake Erie shoreline areas experiencing strong wave action and elevated water levels. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas. A close watch on local weather conditions is recommended.

Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor road conditions along the lakeshore.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor Lake Erie conditions and will update this message as necessary.

This Flood Watch is in effect until 12 p.m. on Thursday, December 1, 2022. LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

Contact Paul Gagnon, 519-842-4242 ext. 232, should further information be required.