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Shoreline Conditions Statement – Water Safety Message [ Lake Flood Message #1 ]

March 17, 2023

Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Water Safety Statement for the Lake Erie Shoreline.

Flood Status Indicator: Water Safety Statement

A strong low-pressure system has begun to move into the LPRCA watershed. This system is expected to bring strong
southwesterly winds which are expected to affect Lake Erie starting this afternoon. Wind speed is forecasted to reach
45 km/hr with potential gusts up to 70 km/hr, peaking this evening. As the system moves eastward on Saturday the
winds will begin to dissipate.

Shorelines across Lake Erie will result in increased water levels due to storm surge and wave heights. Due to the
forecast of strong southwesterly winds, the Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Shoreline
Conditions Statement –Water Safety Statement. This may result in minor shoreline flooding, wave uprush, and
increased erosion along the Lake Erie shoreline. LPRCA does not anticipate that the combined water level and wave
height will exceed local flood thresholds.

The public is asked to stay away from the Lake Erie shoreline due to strong wave action and elevated water levels.
Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

Water levels are expected to remain high until Saturday morning therefore, this Shoreline Conditions Statement –
Water Safety Statement is in effect until 8:00 am, Saturday, March 18th, 2023.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor forecasted conditions and will update this message as necessary.
Contact David Proracki, Water Resource Analyst at or 519-842-4242 ext. 264 should
further information be required.