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Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Warning (Event Message #1)

January 5, 2022

Effective immediately, the Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is issuing a Flood Warning for the Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction. Strong sustained winds are forecast on Wednesday January 5, 2022. The winds from the south/southwesterly direction will be gusting to 90km/hr.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Warning

Forecast models are currently predicting Lake Erie will rise in Long Point by 0.5 meters above the current level to an elevation of 175.20 meters (IGLD 1985) and in the Port Colborne area 0.9 meters above the current level to an elevation of 175.70 meters (IGLD 1985).  Strong winds are expected to cause wave heights greater than 2.5 meters (8 feet) in the Long Point area and over 3 meters (10 feet) towards the eastern limits of the watershed. Water levels and waves are forecast to peak Wednesday evening at 4-7pm.

Shoreline residents in the Long Point Bay (Long Point, Port Rowan, Turkey Point) are warned that flooding will occur after peak winds. The water level in the Bay will reduce with the strong southwest wind, then water “sloshes” or “seiches” back when the wind strength or direction shifts. Minor changes to the wind greatly affect the seiche, which alters the severity and timing of flooding. Wave uprush and increased shoreline erosion can be expected from this event.

Haldimand County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Zones 1. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with flood warning zones mapping in Haldimand County on their website.

Norfolk County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Zone 0. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with flood warning zones mapping in Norfolk County on their flood hub: https://www.norfolkcounty.ca/living/flooding/.

Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor conditions along the lakeshore.

The public is asked to stay away from the Lake Erie shoreline due to strong wave action and elevated water levels and follow the direction of local flood coordinators and emergency officials. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas. LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

This Flood Warning for the Lake Erie shoreline is in effect until noon on Friday, January 7, 2022.

Contact Ben Watson at bwatson@lprca.on.ca should further information be required.

Shoreline Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook Lake Erie (Event Message #1)

December 16, 2021

Effective immediately, the Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is issuing a Shoreline Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook for the entire Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction. This includes Bayham, Norfolk County and Western Haldimand County.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Outlook Statement

A significant weather system is forecast to bring high winds to the lower Great Lakes over the next several days. Winds from the south/southwest may range from 45 to 50km/h, with higher gusts of 60 to 70km/h throughout today (Thursday) and into tomorrow. High winds may result in increased water levels due to storm surge and wave action.

Western Haldimand County may experience minor shoreline flooding, wave uprush, and increased erosion along the shoreline. Water levels at Port Colborne are forecast to peak at 1.8 m (175.30m IGLD) around 11:00 p.m. tonight.

Bayham and Norfolk County have a lower risk of minor flooding, as water levels at Long Point are expected to peak at 1.33m (174.83 IGLD) around 11:00 p.m. tonight.

Residents are urged to use caution and stay away from Lake Erie shoreline areas experiencing strong wave action and elevated water levels. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor road conditions along the lakeshore.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor Lake Erie conditions and will update this message as necessary.

This Shoreline Conditions Statement is in effect until 12:00 p.m. Friday, December 17, 2021.

Contact LPRCA at lprca.floodmessage@lprca.on.ca or 519-842-4242 should further information be required.

Flood Warning Termination (Event Message #3)

December 13, 2021

The Flood Warning issued on Friday, December 10, 2021 for the Lake Erie shoreline is now terminated.

During Saturday’s event high winds caused significant Storm surge. Lake Erie flood levels reached the maximum gage elevation Port Dover area of 175.70 metres (IGLD85) and 176.4 metres (IGLD85) in Port Colborne, which was the 4th highest on record. The newly installed Port Rowan Gage recorded a maximum of 175.3 meters (IGLD85).

Resident’s are reminded to avoid driving in flood waters, as the depth of water and flow velocity are unknown and the vehicle may become stranded or washed away. Roads otherwise in good condition, may have washed out when overtopped by the floodwaters.

Lake Erie static water levels are expected to remain near record highs over the coming months. High static water levels increase the risk of flooding caused by moderate to severe wind-driven surges. Strong lakeshore surge events typically occur from fall through spring.

Due to the forecast for high lake levels, the previously issued Shoreline Conditions Statement – Lake Erie Flood Outlook remains in effect until further notice.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Outlook Statement

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor forecasted conditions and will update this message as necessary.

Contact LPRCA at lprca.floodmessage@lprca.on.ca or 519-842-4242 should further information be required.

Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Warning (Event Message #2)

December 11, 2021

Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is issuing a Flood Warning Update for the entire Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction. Environment Canada has increased the wind warning, forecasting strong southwesterly winds reaching 100 km/h gusting to 120km/h through the evening.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Warning

Forecast models are currently forecasting Lake Erie to rise in Long Point rise to 175.39 meters (IGLD 1985) and in the Port Colborne area the rise to an elevation of 176.52 meters (IGLD 1985).

The Updated wave heights greater than 2.9 meters in the Long Point area and up to 1.9 meters towards the eastern limits of the watershed. Water levels are still expected to peak Saturday, this evening.

Haldimand County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Zones 1-5. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with flood warning zones mapping in Haldimand County on their website.

Norfolk County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Zones 1 near Long Point with higher levels Zone 3 expected in the east of the Norfolk County. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with flood warning zones mapping in Norfolk County on their flood hub: https://www.norfolkcounty.ca/living/flooding/.

Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor conditions along the lakeshore.

The public is asked to stay away from the Lake Erie shoreline due to strong wave action and elevated water levels and follow the direction of local flood coordinators and emergency officials. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

This Flood Warning for the Lake Erie shoreline is in effect until noon, Monday, December 13th, 2021.

Contact Ben Watson at bwatson@lprca.on.ca should further information be required.

Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Warning (Event Message #1)

December 10, 2021

Effective immediately, the Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is issuing a Flood Warning for the entire Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction. Environment Canada has issued a wind warning, forecasting strong southwesterly winds reaching 90 km/h gusting to 110km/h.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Warning
Forecast models are currently forecasting Lake Erie to rise in Long Point by 0.75 meters above the current level to an elevation of 175.30 meters (IGLD 1985) and in the Port Colborne area 1.67 meters above the current level to an elevation of 176.27 meters (IGLD 1985). Strong winds are expected to cause wave heights greater than 1.5 meters (± 5 feet) in the Long Point area and up to 2.3 meters (± 7.5 feet) towards the eastern limits of the watershed. Water levels are forecasted to peak Saturday evening.

With the forecasted winds, flooding is expected to impact low lying areas along the Lake Erie shoreline and lower reaches of some tributaries. Wave uprush and increased shoreline erosion can be expected from this event.

Haldimand County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Zones 1-4. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with flood warning zones mapping in Haldimand County on their website.

Norfolk County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Zone 0. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with flood warning zones mapping in Norfolk County on their flood hub https://www.norfolkcounty.ca/living/flooding/

Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor conditions along the lakeshore.

The public is asked to stay away from the Lake Erie shoreline due to strong wave action and elevated water levels and follow the direction of local flood coordinators and emergency officials. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

This Flood Warning for the Lake Erie shoreline is in effect until noon on Monday, December 13th, 2021.

Contact Ben Watson at bwatson@lprca.on.ca should further information be required.

Lake Erie Shoreline Flood Warning (Event Message #2)

December 6, 2021

Effective immediately, the Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is upgrading the Shoreline Conditions Statement to a Flood Warning for the entire Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction. This includes Bayham, Norfolk County and Western Haldimand County.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Warning

The Ministry of Northern Development, Mines, Natural Resources and Forestry (NDMNRF) has upgraded its forecast for Lake Erie.  Water levels are now forecasted to rise in Long Point by 0.76 meters above the current level to an elevation of 175.26 meters (IGLD 1985), and 1.36 meters to 175.82 meters (IGLD 1985) along the Haldimand County shoreline within LPRCA’s watershed. Peak levels are currently expected to occur Monday evening. Wave heights are expected to reach 2 meters along the shoreline.

With the forecasted 50 km/h southwest/west winds and gusts exceeding 80 km/h, flooding is expected to impact low lying areas along the Lake Erie shoreline and lower reaches of some tributaries. Norfolk County residents and businesses should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Zones 0, with minor flooding of roads in Long Point, Turkey Point, and Port Dover. Wave uprush and increased shoreline erosion can be expected from this event.

Haldimand County residents and businesses within LPRCA’s watershed should be aware flooding could reach Lake Erie Flood Zones 2. The public is advised to familiarize themselves with flood warning zones mapping in Haldimand County on their website.

The public is asked to stay away from the Lake Erie shoreline due to strong wave action and elevated water levels and follow the direction of local flood coordinators and emergency officials.  Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor Lake Erie conditions and will update this message as necessary.

This Flood Warning for the Lake Erie shoreline is in effect until 8:30 a.m. Tuesday, December 7, 2021.

Contact LPRCA at lprca.floodmessage@lprca.on.ca or 519-842-4242 should further information be required.

Shoreline Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook Lake Erie (Event Message #1)

December 5, 2021

Effective immediately, the Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is issuing a Shoreline Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook for the entire Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction. This includes Bayham, Norfolk County and Western Haldimand County.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Outlook Statement

A low pressure system is forecast to move into the Province Sunday evening bringing strong winds and widespread precipitation. Strong southwest/west winds 50 km/h with gusts potentially exceeding 80 km/h are forecast overnight, Monday and possibly Tuesday. With the forecasted winds, minor flooding is expected to impact very low lying areas along the Lake Erie shoreline. Wave uprush and increased shoreline erosion can be expected from this event. Southwestern Ontario is expected to receive 15 to 30 mm of rain between Sunday evening and Monday from this event.

The Ministry of Northern Development, Mines, Natural Resources and Forestry (NDMNRF) is currently forecasting Lake Erie to rise in Long Point by 0.64 meters above the current level to an elevation of 175.16 meters (IGLD 1985), and 1.23 meters to 175.66 meters (IGLD 1985) along the Haldimand County shoreline within LPRCA’s watershed. Peak levels are currently expected to occur Monday evening. Wave heights are expected to reach 2 meters along the shoreline.

Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor road conditions along the lakeshore.

People are urged to use caution or stay away from Lake Erie shoreline areas experiencing strong wave action and elevated water levels. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor Lake Erie conditions and will update this message as necessary.

This Shoreline Conditions Statement is in effect until 8:30 a.m. Tuesday, December 7, 2021.

Contact LPRCA at lprca.floodmessage@lprca.on.ca or 519-842-4242 should further information be required.

Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety Statement (Event Message #1)

October 14, 2021

Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is issuing a Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety for all areas within its watersheds.

Flood Status Indicator: Water Safety Statement

Remnants of Hurricane/Tropical Storm Pamela are expected to travel over southwestern and central Ontario over the next 3 days, bringing widespread rainfall with the potential for embedded thunderstorms.

Rainfall is expected to begin Thursday through the day, starting in the southwest and progressing northwesterly with expected precipitation accumulations of 10 – 20 mm.
The storm will then track northeastward reaching the Great Lakes region on Friday with expected precipitation amounts of 20-30mm with locally heavier amounts of 30-50 mm or more possible.

Due to recent rainfall in the LPRCA watershed, river systems will be moderately responsive to additional rainfall. Rainfall and thunderstorms in the forecast could result in localized high-water conditions through the river system.

Sustained winds from the west-south-west will accompany this system and may induce storm surge and wave conditions on Lake Erie late Friday into Saturday.

As always, the public is reminded to exercise caution around all local waterways, especially as flows and levels are elevated. Banks adjacent to rivers and creeks are very slippery and, when combined with fast-moving water, pose a serious hazard. Parents are reminded to keep their children and pets away from all watercourses.

Landowners are also advised to make sure dams, culverts, and catch basins are free from debris and functioning properly, if safe to do so.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor watershed conditions and will update this message as necessary.

This water safety statement is in effect until 12:00 p.m. on Monday, October 18.

Flood Watch Terminated; Water Safety Advised (Event Message #2)

September 24, 2021

The Riverine Flood Watch for all areas within the Long Point Region Watershed is now Terminated.

Riverine water levels have now declined sufficiently that a flood watch message is no longer necessary. Most watercourses across the LPRCA have peaked and are now declining, however stream levels remain high.

Due to these conditions, LPRCA is issuing a Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety for all watercourses within its jurisdiction.

Flood Status Indicator: Water Safety Statement

People are reminded to stay away from ditches, streams, rivers and ponds as the combination of slippery banks and cold, fast-flowing water is dangerous. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor watershed conditions and will update this message as necessary.

This water safety message is in effect until noon, Monday, September 27, 2021.

Riverine Flood Watch (Event Message #1)

September 22, 2021

Long Point Region Conservation Authority is issuing a Riverine Flood Watch for all areas within its watershed.

Flood Status Indicator: Flood Watch

An Environment Canada Rainfall Warning for Simcoe – Delhi – Norfolk has been issued. It states:

    • Significant rainfall expected through Thursday afternoon.
    • Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to continue today before moving out Thursday.
    • Total rainfall amounts of 75 to 100 mm are expected by early Thursday afternoon with a few areas possibly reaching 125 mm.
    • This widespread rainfall event is due to a cold front and a moisture laden low pressure system that will arrive from the American Mid-west.

The Long Point Region watershed has received approximately 22-40 mm of precipitation during the last 12 hours and forecasts suggest an additional 75-100 mm will fall over the next 48 hours. Area watercourses are still responding to rainfall from yesterday and water levels are expected to rise with the forecasted precipitation, creating the potential for flooding in flood-prone areas.

People are warned to stay away from ditches, streams, rivers and ponds as the combination of slippery banks and cold, fast-flowing water is dangerous. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas.

Landowners are also advised to make sure dams, culverts and catchbasins are free from debris and functioning properly, if it is safe to do so.

Water levels are expected to remain high for the remainder of the week. Therefore, this Flood Watch is in effect until Monday, September 27, 2021 at 12:45 p.m. LPRCA staff will continue to monitor conditions throughout the watershed and will update this message as necessary.

Contact Ben Watson at 519-842-4242 ext. 264 should further information be required.