Watershed Conditions Statement – Riverine & Shoreline Flood Outlook(Event Message #1)

The Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is issuing a Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook for the entire watershed, including the Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction.

A low pressure system is expected to pass through the watershed, bringing a significant amount of precipitation and high winds on Sunday and Monday. Above freezing temperatures and 20 to 40 mm of rain is expected on Sunday, followed by strong southwest winds on Monday morning. The forecasted precipitation combined with the existing snow and ice will elevate water levels in local watercourses and low lying areas.

Behind the departing low-pressure system on Monday, strong sustained southwest winds of 50–60 km/h gusting at 80-100km/h are expected, and will elevate Lake Erie water levels, especially in Haldimand County.

Residents are urged to exercise caution and avoid watercourses, and areas along the Lake Erie shoreline experiencing strong wave action and elevated water levels. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas. Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor flood prone areas throughout the watershed, and road conditions along the lakeshore closely.

LPRCA staff will continue to monitor forecasts and watershed conditions, and will provide updates to this message as necessary.

This Watershed Conditions Statement is in effect until noon, December 30, 2025.
Contact LPRCA at lprca.floodmessage@lprca.on.ca or 519-842-4242 ext. 232 should further information be required.

Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snowmelt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, a rise in Lake Erie, lakeshore flooding or erosion.