Shoreline Conditions Statement – Water Safety (Event Message #1)
November 30, 2025The Long Point Region Conservation Authority (LPRCA) is issuing a Shoreline Conditions Statement – Water Safety for the entire Lake Erie shoreline within its jurisdiction. This includes the Municipality of Bayham, Norfolk County, and western Haldimand County.
A significant weather system is forecasted to bring high winds to Lake Erie over the next 12 hours. Sustained winds of 60 km/h from the west/southwest are forecasted, with gusts reaching up to 90 km/h starting this morning and into Sunday evening. These high winds may result in increased water levels due to storm surge and wave action.
Western Haldimand County may experience minor shoreline flooding, wave uprush, and increased erosion along the shoreline. Water levels at Port Colborne are forecasted to peak at 1.83 m (175.33 m IGLD) between 3:00 pm and 5:00 pm Sunday afternoon.
Bayham and Norfolk County have a lower risk of minor flooding, as water levels at Long Point are expected to peak at 1.17 m (174.64 IGLD) between 3:00 pm and 5:00 pm Sunday afternoon.
Residents are urged to exercise caution and avoid areas along the Lake Erie shoreline experiencing strong wave action and elevated water levels. Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from these areas. Community flood coordinators are asked to monitor road conditions along the lakeshore closely.
LPRCA staff will continue to monitor Lake Erie conditions and will provide updates to this message as necessary.
This Shoreline Conditions Statement is in effect until 8:00 am Monday, December 1, 2025.
Contact LPRCA at lprca.floodmessage@lprca.on.ca or 519-842-4242 ext. 232 should further information be required.
Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: a message issued by the Conservation Authority to advise municipal flood coordinators and watershed residents that unsafe lake, river and channel conditions may develop or exist.
